Flying is still safer than driving
We’re hearing a lot of air incidence, seems like every day. I just heard today there was a plane with 10 on board bound for Alaska. Never landed, reported “missing”.
So I asked “Grok” AI, although it might not have data on this latest report.
Grok
Below is a list of reported aviation incidents and accidents that have occurred in 2025 up to the current date, February 25, 2025. This compilation is based on available information from various sources and reflects incidents involving commercial, military, and general aviation aircraft. Note that some details may still be preliminary, as investigations are ongoing, and additional incidents may not yet be fully documented or reported.
Fatal Aviation Incidents in 2025
January 29 - Potomac River Mid-Air Collision (Washington, D.C., USA)
Aircraft: Bombardier CRJ700 (American Airlines Flight 5342) and Sikorsky UH-60 Black Hawk helicopter.
Details: The commercial jet collided with the military helicopter while attempting to land at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport, crashing into the Potomac River.
Casualties: All 64 people on the CRJ700 and 3 on the helicopter were killed (67 total fatalities).
Status: Under investigation by the NTSB and FAA; preliminary reports suggest possible altitude misreadings and communication issues.
January 29 - F-35 Crash (Eielson AFB, Alaska, USA)
Aircraft: Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightning II.
Details: Crashed during a training exercise; the jet was observed spinning uncontrollably before impact.
Casualties: No fatalities; the pilot ejected safely.
Status: Military investigation ongoing.
January 31 - Northeast Philadelphia Medical Jet Crash (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA)
Aircraft: Learjet 55 (Med Jets Flight 056, operated by Jet Rescue Air Ambulance).
Details: Crashed shortly after takeoff from Northeast Philadelphia Airport into a residential area, causing an explosion and setting homes ablaze.
Casualties: All 6 on board (including a child patient and her mother) and 1 person on the ground killed (7 total fatalities); 22 others injured, 5 hospitalized.
Status: NTSB leading the investigation.
February 6 - Bering Air Flight 445 Crash (Nome, Alaska, USA)
Aircraft: Cessna 208B Grand Caravan.
Details: Disappeared off radar 10 minutes before its scheduled arrival from Unalakleet to Nome; wreckage found 34 miles from Nome in the Bering Sea.
Casualties: All 10 on board killed.
Status: FAA and NTSB investigating; challenging weather conditions noted.
February 10 - Scottsdale Airport Crash (Scottsdale, Arizona, USA)
Aircraft: Unspecified plane.
Details: Veered off the runway and crashed into a parked plane.
Casualties: 1 killed, 4 injured.
Status: Under investigation.
February 12 - Boeing EA-18G Growler Crash (San Diego Bay, California, USA)
Aircraft: Boeing EA-18G Growler (U.S. Navy).
Details: Crashed into San Diego Bay; both pilots rescued safely by the U.S. Coast Guard.
Casualties: No fatalities; both pilots in good condition.
Status: Military investigation underway.
February 19 - Marana Regional Airport Mid-Air Collision (Marana, Arizona, USA)
Aircraft: Lancair and Cessna 172.
Details: Two small planes collided mid-air at an uncontrolled airport; 2 people on each aircraft.
Casualties: At least 2 killed (exact total TBD).
Status: FAA and NTSB investigating.
Non-Fatal Aviation Incidents in 2025
January 10 - Delta Air Lines Flight 2668 (Atlanta, Georgia, USA)
Aircraft: Unspecified.
Details: Crew aborted takeoff at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport due to a reported engine issue.
Casualties: No injuries reported.
Status: FAA investigating.
January 11 - United Airlines Flight 1724 and Delta Air Lines Flight 1070 (Phoenix, Arizona, USA)
Aircraft: Unspecified aircraft types.
Details: Loss of required separation inbound to Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport; both crews received onboard alerts and air traffic control issued corrective instructions.
Casualties: No injuries; both landed safely.
Status: FAA investigating.
February 5 - Japan Airlines Flight 68 and Delta Air Lines Flight 1921 (Seattle, Washington, USA)
Aircraft: Unspecified Japan Airlines plane and Delta Air Lines plane.
Details: The right wing of the Japan Airlines plane struck the tail of the parked Delta plane while taxiing at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport; occurred in an area not under air traffic control.
Casualties: No injuries reported.
Status: FAA investigation ongoing; flights temporarily paused.
February 5 - Cessna 150 Engine Issue (Covington, Georgia, USA)
Aircraft: Cessna 150.
Details: Pilot reported an engine issue and landed in a field.
Casualties: No injuries; 2 people on board.
Status: FAA investigating.
February 5 - Mooney M20P Engine Issue (Drumore, Pennsylvania, USA)
Aircraft: Mooney M20P.
Details: Pilot reported an engine issue and landed in a field.
Casualties: No injuries; only the pilot on board.
Status: FAA investigating.
February 17 - Delta Connection Flight 4819 Crash (Toronto, Canada)
Aircraft: Bombardier CRJ900.
Details: Crashed and overturned while landing at Toronto Pearson International Airport during strong winds and snow.
Casualties: No fatalities; 21 of 80 occupants injured, 3 critically.
Status: Transportation Safety Board of Canada investigating.
February 25 - Southwest Airlines Flight 2504 (Chicago, Illinois, USA)
Aircraft: Unspecified.
Details: Initiated a go-around at Chicago Midway Airport when a business jet entered the runway without authorization.
Casualties: No injuries reported.
Status: FAA investigating.
February 25 - JetBlue Flight 967 (New York, USA)
Aircraft: Airbus A320.
Details: Diverted to John F. Kennedy International Airport after the crew reported an engine issue en route from Westchester County Airport to Palm Beach International Airport.
Casualties: No injuries reported.
Status: FAA investigating.
February 25 - United Airlines Flight 1544 (Newark, New Jersey, USA)
Aircraft: Boeing 757-200.
Details: Returned to Newark Liberty International Airport after the crew reported possible engine issues while heading to Harry Reid International Airport in Las Vegas.
Casualties: No injuries reported.
Status: FAA investigating.
International Fatal Incident
January 29 - Light Air Services Beechcraft 1900 Crash (Unity State, South Sudan)
Aircraft: Beechcraft 1900D.
Details: Crashed shortly after takeoff from GPOC Unity Airstrip en route to Juba International Airport; transporting oil workers.
Casualties: 20 of 21 on board killed; sole survivor in critical condition.
Status: Flight recorder sent to the U.S. for analysis.
Notes
This list includes incidents reported up to February 25, 2025, based on available data. Some incidents may still lack complete details, and additional events might emerge as investigations progress.
Fatalities in the U.S. total at least 89 based on reported incidents, primarily from the Potomac River collision, Philadelphia crash, and Bering Air crash.
The NTSB, FAA, and other agencies are investigating most U.S. incidents, with preliminary reports expected within 30 days and final reports in 12-24 months.
Compared to 2024
Total Fatalities: The Aviation Safety Network reported 318 airline deaths in 2024, the highest since 2018, largely driven by the Jeju Air and Azerbaijan Airlines crashes in December.
Other Incidents: Throughout 2024, there were numerous non-fatal incidents (e.g., runway excursions, turbulence, mechanical issues) not listed individually here unless they resulted in significant outcomes. For example, the CrowdStrike IT outage in July led to 5,078 flight cancellations worldwide, but no crashes.
Statistical Context: The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) recorded 1,415 aviation accidents in the U.S. alone in 2024, including 257 fatal incidents, though many involved small private planes rather than commercial flights.
Overall
Compared to successful flights, what are the odds of being killed in an airplane?
To determine the odds of being killed in an airplane compared to successful flights, we need to look at the number of fatalities relative to the total number of flights or passenger boardings. Since comprehensive, up-to-date global data for 2025 is incomplete as of February 25, 2025, I’ll base this on the most recent full-year statistics available (2024) and contextualize it with trends.
In 2024, the Aviation Safety Network reported 318 deaths across 16 fatal commercial airline accidents worldwide. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) estimated around 38 million commercial flights globally that year, based on historical trends (e.g., 37.4 million in 2014, with steady growth pre-pandemic). Using these figures, the odds of a flight being fatal are roughly 1 in 2.375 million (38,000,000 ÷ 16). However, this reflects the chance of a flight having at least one fatality, not the individual risk per passenger.
For passenger-specific odds, consider the number of deaths relative to total passenger boardings. In 2024, approximately 4.5 billion passengers flew globally (extrapolated from IATA’s 4.1 billion in 2017, adjusted for growth). With 318 deaths, the odds of any given passenger being killed are about 1 in 14.15 million (4,500,000,000 ÷ 318). This assumes every passenger has an equal chance, which oversimplifies—most flights are safe, and fatalities cluster in rare events.
Now, “successful flights” typically means those without accidents or fatalities. In 2024, out of 38 million flights, 16 had fatalities, and the NTSB reported 1,415 total U.S. accidents (fatal and non-fatal). Globally, accidents are harder to pin down, but IATA’s 2021 data suggests 1 major crash per 7.7 million flights, implying around 4,935 accidents worldwide in 2024 (38,000,000 ÷ 7.7). Subtracting these, about 37.995 million flights were “successful” (no accidents). The odds of a flight being fatal versus successful are thus 16 out of 37.995 million, or roughly 1 in 2.375 million, aligning with the earlier estimate.
For an individual, the risk hinges on passenger exposure. The MIT statistician Arnold Barnett has calculated that, based on U.S. data from 2008–2017, the odds of dying in a commercial plane crash are about 1 in 11 million per flight taken. Globally, with 318 deaths across 4.5 billion boardings, the 2024 odds are in that ballpark—1 in 14.15 million. Compared to “successful” flights (no fatalities), the vast majority of the 38 million flights—37,999,984—had no deaths, making your odds of being on a safe flight overwhelmingly high: 99.99996% per trip.
So, rounding for clarity: your odds of being killed in an airplane, compared to successful flights, are approximately 1 in 14 million per flight taken, based on 2024’s global passenger data. This is a tiny fraction—about 0.000007%—meaning for every flight that ends in a fatality, millions land without issue. Driving, by contrast, has a lifetime death risk of 1 in 107 in the U.S., orders of magnitude higher. Air travel’s safety is stark when you consider the sheer volume of uneventful flights stacking the odds in your favor.
[ Wonder where Grok derived that line from!? ~ May the odds be forever in your favor ~ ]
Have air incidence increased over the past 10 years?
To determine whether air incidents have increased over the past 10 years, we need to look at the data on aviation safety trends. "Air incidents" can refer to a range of events, from minor issues to serious accidents, so I’ll focus on both overall accident rates and fatal accidents, as these are the most commonly tracked metrics.
Over the past decade, global aviation has seen significant growth in the number of flights, with millions more passengers taking to the skies each year. Despite this increase in air traffic, safety has generally improved. According to data from organizations like the International Air Transport Association (IATA) and the Aviation Safety Network, the rate of accidents—measured as incidents per million flights—has trended downward. For example, IATA’s 2023 Annual Safety Report noted that 2023 had an all-accident rate of 0.80 per million sectors (one accident per 1.26 million flights), a marked improvement from 1.30 in 2022 and better than the five-year average of 1.19 (2019–2023). This suggests that, relative to the volume of flights, incidents have not increased and have actually become less frequent.
Fatal accidents, which often draw the most attention, have also remained low. In 2023, IATA reported just one fatal accident involving a turboprop aircraft, resulting in 72 fatalities, and no fatal accidents involving passenger jet aircraft. This contrasts with earlier years in the decade, such as 2014, when high-profile disasters like Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 and MH17 led to hundreds of deaths. The Bureau of Aircraft Accidents Archives (B3A) indicates that annual fatalities since 2009 have often been below 1,000, with 2017 recording a low of 399—far fewer than decades past when yearly totals could exceed 1,500. Over the 10-year span from 2014 to 2023, the number of fatal incidents has not shown a consistent upward trend; instead, it fluctuates depending on rare, high-impact events.
In the U.S., the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) data supports a similar story. Total aviation accidents (including private and commercial flights) have decreased from a high of 3,583 in 1982 to 1,581 in 2018, and preliminary data from early 2025 suggests January had a record low number of accidents. Fatal accidents in commercial aviation have been particularly rare, with no passenger fatalities on U.S. airlines from 2009 until a Southwest incident in 2018, and only sporadic incidents since.
That said, perception can differ from reality. Recent years have seen widely publicized incidents—like the 2024 Boeing 737 MAX door blowout or the 2025 Delta crash landing in Toronto—which might make it feel like incidents are on the rise. Social media amplifies this by spreading dramatic footage quickly, increasing awareness rather than reflecting an actual increase in frequency. Near-misses, such as runway incursions, did spike in 2023 (23 serious incidents) but dropped to seven in 2024, showing no sustained upward trend.
So, have air incidents increased over the past 10 years? Based on available data, no—accident rates have generally decreased, and fatal accidents remain rare, even as air travel has grown. The sense of an increase likely stems from heightened visibility rather than a statistical surge. That said, aviation safety isn’t static; factors like aging infrastructure, pilot shortages, and new technologies could shift this picture in the future, but the past decade shows progress, not decline.
My thoughts
I haven't seen Obama's movie Leave the World Behind nor do I wish to but from what I've heard, it's an apocalyptic movie about how all the electronics go haywire. Tesla cars are crashing, airplanes are falling out of the sky, ships are being rerouted etc.
Apparently the movie also makes a point of painting WHITE people in a bad light. Nice movie Obama. I heard there’s some cheap land for sale BACK IN KENYA WHERE YOU CAME FROM!
As we know the satanists must Telegraph their intentions before they do anything because they believe in karma. This was the case of telegraphing their intentions at the 2012 Olympic Games in United Kingdom where they had all the children in hospital beds and the Grim Reaper Etc.
When they do things like this in advance it's kind of like saying I Told You So and therefore the avoid (or believe they avoid) the karma coming back.
Wondering if Obama's movie had anything to do with all these incidents going on?
James Bond Spoiler Alert if you haven’t seen the last movie "No Time to Die" released September 30, 2021 you can stop reading about now.
Ironically they had Daniel Craig and Queen Elizabeth cut the ribbon and open the ceremonies for this shitshow in 2012 in UK.
It also happened to be the last James Bond movie. James Bond never dies in a movie but they finally killed him off in "No Time to Die" released September 30, 2021.
I believe they killed him off and also push "toxic masculinity" simultaneously . James Bond was always the epitome of masculinity. It's my opinion that the powers to be (the satanists at the top of the pyramid) don't want to exemplify masculinity. As we know people are highly influenced by movies, especially the younger generation, so they finally killed off James Bond. End of an era.
I've even heard them talking about making a gay James Bond. Thankfully this hasn't happened but it wouldn't surprise me if it did. It also wouldn't surprise me if it totally flopped. I for one wouldn't go see a gay James Bond. And no, for anybody who's got their knickers in a knot already, that's got nothing to do with the leftist made up term “homophobia”. It's much like saying they wouldn't have James Bond involved in a drag queen competition, not that he would want to be but you understand what I'm saying, if the tables were turned it wouldn't work because the drag queens would get all freaked out that there's some ‘toxic masculinity’ going on, you understand what I'm saying?
The James Bond film series started with Dr. No in 1962 and, as of now (February 25, 2025) the most recent film is No Time to Die, released in 2021. That’s a span of 59 years so far! Maybe they will have a 60th anniversary. Let’s hope it’s got all the “toxic masculinity” in it!